Reporters weigh in on WKU-UK game
September 1, 2011
It’s officially game day for WKU and Kentucky.
With still a few hours before kickoff, several
journalists from around the state took the time to give the Herald
their final thoughts and predictions on tonight’s game.
Here’s what they had to say:
John Clay, Lexington Herald-Leader
columnist
I expect to see a Kentucky win, but not the rout UK
fans – the ones watching in HD at home as it doesn’t like many will
actually be at LP Field —are expecting. Joker Phillips is going to
rely on a lot of young faces, especially on offense. It is
unrealistic to think the newcomers will burst from the gate in full
stride.
The most interesting aspect might be on defense,
where both teams are breaking in new coordinators. Rick Minter
wants to be (overly) aggressive. So I’m expecting the Cats to bust
a blitz or two, allowing Bobby Rainey to gallop into the great wide
open. WKU has a new defensive boss, too, which might confuse the UK
offense. At least early.
Don’t get me wrong. I think Kentucky will win. But
I’m guessing 34-20. And I hope the atmosphere is better than I
expect. Truth be told, I know of very few who are actually making
the drive to Music City. After all, it’s a 9:15 p.m. start on a
work day. In any other profession, that’s known as poor
planning.
Prediction: Kentucky 34, WKU 20
Kyle Tucker, Kentucky beat reporter for the
Louisville Courier-Journal
I can’t see this one becoming the shootout that it
was last year. Kentucky’s offense might take some time to get going
this fall with a new quarterback (sort of), new starting tailback
and new starting wide receivers. But the Wildcats’ defense — with
its top 11 tacklers back and a new, more aggressive coordinator in
Rick Minter — seems certain to be better than in 2010. The question
is simply how much better. While I’d expect Bobby Rainey to get his
yards, I’d be surprised if his two-game career average of 9.1 yards
per carry against UK holds up tonight.
Wildcats fans are maybe most eager to see some of the
talented freshmen play, although I’m not sure how much they’ll
actually get on the field. There are seven true freshmen and five
redshirt freshmen in the two-deep. But most are backups, and I
don’t think this will be the all-out rout many folks are expecting.
If not, the starters will be in this one til the end. Unfortunately
for Western, which I do expect to be a better team this fall,
that’s about the best the Hilltoppers can hope for. The talent gap
is still too wide.
Prediction: Kentucky 35, WKU 17
Eric Crawford, Louisville Courier-Journal
Columnist
This looks to me like a game where both teams will
load up against the run early and try to make the other move the
ball through the air. It wouldn’t surprise me to see UK open up
with several passing plays in its first series, just to try to get
QB Morgan Newton some confidence. Western, I would think, has to
feel like it can run into the teeth of the Kentucky defense to a
degree. Bobby Rainey needs to get his carries no matter what UK
does.
I feel like this game will be close at halftime, and
if it can minimize mistakes and establish any kind of possession
with its run game, WKU will have a chance to make things
interesting in the third quarter.
As usually happens, I’d think UK’s depth will be the
main factor as time wears on. I look for the Wildcats to pull away
for a two-touchdown victory, comfortable, but far less than the
spread is calling for.
Did not give a score prediction
Rick Bozich, Louisville Courier-Journal
Columnist
For all the fascination about play-makers and guys
with dazzling arms, blocking and tackling is still the first place
to look when the college football season begins. Kentucky should
have its best offensive line in several years — and beefier and
faster personnel on the defensive line, too. WKU halfback Bobby
Rainey gives the Hilltoppers a puncher’s chance, but UK will
eventually wear WKU down and win.
Prediction: Kentucky 41, WKU 14
Aaron Smith, Kentucky Kernel
reporter
Some painfully sloppy football, at points, with UK
going through major shifts in offensive personnel (new quarterback,
new running back, new receiving corps) and major shifts in
defensive philosophy (a new defensive coordinator with a scheme
that seems to be the polar opposite of the previous playbook). Some
exquisitely executed football, at other points, with the seemingly
large disparity between these two teams. Bobby Rainey reprising a
slightly lesser version of his Madden-esque performance from last
year’s game. And empty seats.
From UK’s perspective, this game is all about
assessing all of the newness with the team. There’s positive
expectations for this team, mainly because that’s a requirement at
the start of college football season, but they’re rather vague. We
really don’t know what this defense will be like, and we really
don’t know if the new offensive players will have fans immediately
wondering how much money it would have taken to keep Randall Cobb
around for one more year. This game will be the instant-judgment
game, and there will be an endless amount of over-analysis
following the game. Which should make it all the more fun.
If you give me an over/under of 35,000 for
attendance, I’ll go with guessing the people in charge won’t let in
random people off the streets to make the game look better on TV
and take the under.
Prediction: Kentucky 38, WKU 21
Ethan Levine, Kentucky Kernel Sports
Editor
UK finds themselves in a transition year of sorts in
2011. The team features a brand new quarterback and an inexperience
stable of skill position players at running back and wide receiver.
Defensively, the team has installed new co-defensive coordinator’s
defensive scheme, giving them a new look on defense in 2011. The
Cats’ success will hinge upon how quickly the offense can find its
rhythm and how many of these new faces step up and make plays on
offense, as well as how quickly the defense can learn this new
system and have it game-ready. The season opener against WKU will
provide a good barometer for how far along UK is in their
transition.
For WKU, their hopes of staying with the Cats on
Thursday night live and die with running back Bobby Rainey. Rainey
broke out for over 180 yards against UK in last year’s matchup of
these in-state rivals, and has explosive, big-play abilities coming
out of the backfield. Rainey is a player that has the ability to
make something out of nothing on every play. If WKU has any chance
of beating UK, they will have to hop on Rainey’s back early in the
game and let him carry them.
My prediction: UK will win big. Rainey will get his
yards, and even touchdowns, but UK, despite their inexperience, is
a more complete team at every position on both sides of the ball,
and it will show in this game. WKU continues to improve every year,
but they are not yet at a point in their development where they can
compete with an SEC team like UK.
Prediction: Kentucky 38, WKU 17